Sports gambling can be very profitable if you know the secrets this “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that smart money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a excellent illustration. I analyzed the particular West Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Las vegas had this edge in the activity. Nevertheless , We also noticed that there have been a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guess on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Las vegas vs . Louisville
This online game provides all the indicators of being one involving the best games associated with the year, with both teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, having West Virginia coming back from being down massive in the independence day quarter to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s the game appear like this year?
In the event this sport were appearing played in the simple field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. That they haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROAD games.
These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s online. Plus, the particular additional reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like much, but in a shut match-up such as this, that extra point could make the big difference between a good push together with a loss.
But you may be wondering what about Louisville?
Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home activities.
Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your house since Dec eighteen, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. five points per game at home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points per game from home. In case a person failed to do the math concepts, that means since their particular last home loss they’ve averaged beating his or her opponents by way of about 34 points per game.
Even greater remarkable, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, simply by 13 things per online game at home considering that 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
ufabet168.info ‘s exactly how…
Most of those stats have been piled up during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They’ve acquired recent games in which they have already only scored 35, 23, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The end result is the fact that this is still a good close video game to contact. But what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off this kind of game and certainly not guarantee at all. There are better activities this quick with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for some sort of TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big that they could very well still win right after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this game, people really serious about gambling saved money they can put to better make use of on approaching games.